12∞ · Question 8.12.9
How should my confidence change as evidence comes in?
Gradually, and in proportion. Begin with an honest estimate of how likely a claim is.
From the book 12∞ Twelve to Infinity by D.R. Davenport. The full answer is free to read with an iBelieve account.
Where it sits in the book
- Part
- 8: Hidden, Suppressed, Forgotten, or Misunderstood
- Gate
- 8.12: Tools for Honest Inquiry
- In print
- Page 287
- ← 8.12.8 · Why are small conspiracies believable and enormous ones doubtful?
- 8.12.10 → · What are the warning signs of a bad theory?
- All of Part 8
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